Billionaire Peter Thiel Exits Entire Nvidia Stake Worth Over $100 Million, Signs of Growing AI Bubble Risk

In a move that has drawn significant attention across tech and investment circles, billionaire investor Peter Thiel has reportedly fully divested his stake in Nvidia Corporation, according to regulatory filings and market analysts. 

What We Know

Thiel’s hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC, filed its Quarter 3 2025 13F disclosures, which show that it sold all 537,742 shares of Nvidia that previously comprised around 40% of the fund’s equity holdings. The sale is estimated to be worth nearly $100 million, based on average NVDA prices over the sale period. 

Thiel’s exit comes at a moment when Nvidia’s valuation has soared the chipmaker recently surpassed an approximate $5 trillion market cap. 

Why This Matters

  • Signal for the tech market: Thiel is widely regarded as a contrarian and influential investor. His complete exit from a high-profile AI company such as Nvidia raises questions about how he views valuation and risk in the current AI stock surge.

  • Bubble concerns: Market commentators suggest Thiel’s move may underline fears of an “AI bubble”, wherein companies like Nvidia may be priced on expectation rather than fundamentals. 

  • Portfolio repositioning: The divestment suggests a broader shift in strategy; Thiel also reduced other positions (such as in Tesla, Inc.) and appears to be reallocating toward different holdings, perhaps indicating diminished conviction in certain high-growth tech names. 

Context & Considerations

  • Timing is key: Nvidia has delivered strong recent performance. The decision to sell may reflect concerns about imminent moderation in growth or a plateau in the upward momentum.

  • Risk-management: Selling a large stake in a major holding could be driven by risk reduction rather than pure pessimism. Thiel might be locking in profits or hedging against downside risk in a frothy market.

  • Not a personal statement about Nvidia alone: While the news is about Nvidia, it could also reflect Thiel’s macro views on technology, valuations, and market calm before a storm.

  • Liquidity implications: Exiting around half-a-million shares has liquidity and market-impact considerations. That such a sale is happening at such scale amplifies the significance.

What to Watch Next

  • Whether Thiel’s fund reveals where the proceeds are being redirected new filings may show increased stakes in other companies or sectors.

  • How the market responds if other institutional investors follow suit, we may see further exits in other AI-related stocks.

  • Nvidia’s next earnings and guidance any signs of slowdown or hiccups could validate Thiel’s timing.

  • Technical and valuation signals in the broader semiconductor and AI sectors with an exit this prominent, valuation discipline may return to focus.

FAQs

Q1: How many shares did Peter Thiel sell in Nvidia?
He sold approximately 537,742 shares of Nvidia, which previously represented about 40% of his fund’s equity exposure. 

Q2: What is the estimated value of his Nvidia position that was sold?
Based on average share prices during the July-September period, the value is estimated at nearly $100 million

Q3: Why is this significant for the tech and AI stock market?
Thiel’s exit is noteworthy because it comes at a time when Nvidia and other AI-related stocks are at lofty valuations. His decision may reflect concerns about growth sustainability and market risk thereby influencing broader investor sentiment.

Q4: Does this mean Thiel is bearish on Nvidia or AI broadly?
Not necessarily. The sale could reflect portfolio diversification or risk management rather than a direct bearish thesis. However, the timing suggests caution about valuations in the AI sector.

Q5: What other holdings did Thiel’s fund adjust?
Along with selling Nvidia, Thiel reduced his holding in Tesla and increased holdings in companies like Apple and Microsoft, according to filings. 

Q6: Should investors follow Thiel’s move and sell their tech stocks?
This article is not investment advice. While Thiel’s actions are worth noting, individual investors should consider their own risk tolerance, investment horizon, and diversification. High-growth tech stocks carry unique risks, and timing is always tricky.